Permanent public scorecard

We point the detector at ourselves first.

The direct-mail industry's most common lie is ZIP-smear: a ZIP-level number republished on every route inside it. This page grades our own envelope on exactly that, and it stays up permanently.

The sellable surface

released cohort 2ogs-ncrd-release-2026-09-07 · announced 07 Sept 2026, 23:35 UTC · read from source 12 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC

192,981

released carrier routes — the only rows we sell against

233,675

Historical, not live: the figure we used to publish. USPS carrier-route roster identity, 2026-02 roster vintage · counts window 2026-08-25. 40,694 routes came out when the data was held to this standard. We publish no share of the roster.

  • WithheldWithheld upstream on the ZIP-set flat multi-route test. Never served as route-level evidence.186 off-surface
  • Missing confidence bandSparse, model-data-thin routes — 46 rural, 37 highway, 30 city — whose modeled figures arrived without a confidence band. A value without a band is a failed read, not a partial one, and we invent no bands.113 off-surface
  • Not in returnGenuine USPS-rostered routes (2026-02 roster vintage, 2026-08-25 counts window) absent from the released 2OGS return. Named, not silently dropped and not silently included. A supply-refresh request to 2OGS is on file.2,156 off-surface
  • Gate-rejectedQuarantined by 2OGS before release. Neither ingested, inferred nor back-filled by the relay — absent, never zero.20,012 off-surface

Per-state released rows sum to 192,981 exactly.

Roster context — not the sellable surface

source: National Carrier Route Dataset granularity serve · https://owaggydbtywlmgfwvqtz.supabase.co/functions/v1/ncrd-granularity · vintage acs_2019_2023_5yr_route_apportioned · read 12 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC

These are the upstream roster's own granularity counts across 233,675 rows. They are not the released cohort, and no measured share above is derived from them.

MeasuredMeasured at route level
195,43683.6%
Vendor-suppliedVendor-supplied
770.0%
ZIP-smearedZIP-smeared (flagged)
38,16216.3%
UnknownUnknown provenance
00.0%

Latest upstream pull

Status
recorded
Reconciliation
UNRECONCILED
Vintage
acs_2019_2023_5yr_route_apportioned
Window
08 Sept 2026, 18:04 UTC
Received / matched
167 / 20

Snapshot history

Roster-context trend from the granularity serve. Not the released cohort.

10 Sept 2026, 09:12 UTC83.7% measured · 16.3% smeared
10 Sept 2026, 15:18 UTC83.7% measured · 16.3% smeared
10 Sept 2026, 21:27 UTC83.7% measured · 16.3% smeared
11 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC83.7% measured · 16.3% smeared
11 Sept 2026, 09:23 UTC83.7% measured · 16.3% smeared
11 Sept 2026, 15:26 UTC83.7% measured · 16.3% smeared
11 Sept 2026, 21:32 UTC83.7% measured · 16.3% smeared
12 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC83.7% measured · 16.3% smeared

Audit changelog

Shares below are roster-context self-checks, not released-cohort figures.

12 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · nightly · measured 83.7% · smeared 16.3%

Measured share +0.00pt and smear share +0.00pt vs previous audit. Measured 83.7%, smeared 16.3% of 233,675 routes.

11 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · nightly · measured 83.7% · smeared 16.3%

Measured share +0.00pt and smear share +0.00pt vs previous audit. Measured 83.7%, smeared 16.3% of 233,675 routes.

10 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · nightly · measured 83.7% · smeared 16.3%

Measured share +0.00pt and smear share +0.00pt vs previous audit. Measured 83.7%, smeared 16.3% of 233,675 routes.

09 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · nightly · measured 83.7% · smeared 16.3%

Measured share +0.00pt and smear share +0.00pt vs previous audit. Measured 83.7%, smeared 16.3% of 233,675 routes.

08 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · nightly · measured 83.7% · smeared 16.3%

Measured share +0.00pt and smear share +0.00pt vs previous audit. Measured 83.7%, smeared 16.3% of 233,675 routes.

07 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · nightly · measured 83.7% · smeared 16.3%

Measured share +0.00pt and smear share +0.00pt vs previous audit. Measured 83.7%, smeared 16.3% of 233,675 routes.

06 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · nightly · measured 83.7% · smeared 16.3%

Measured share +0.00pt and smear share +0.00pt vs previous audit. Measured 83.7%, smeared 16.3% of 233,675 routes.

05 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · nightly · measured 83.7% · smeared 16.3%

Baseline audit: 83.7% of 233,675 routes measured, 16.3% ZIP-smeared. Future runs compare against this.

The standing disclosure

Provenance classes: A USPS deliverable counts = measured. B population/household/age/race structure = modeled (ZIP+4 to decennial block, placement not yet graded). C income, education, psychographics = modeled permanently; ACS is published at block group and no finer, so no route-level value of these is measured from any source.